It’s easy to be shortsighted and get frustrated when superstar players who were high fantasy draft picks or expensive auction acquisitions. Some might feel compelled to cut their losses and sell, even if it means getting less than full value for the player. But the best bet is to stay the course.
It’s still extremely early in the season and sample sizes are small. Whatever your research told you In the offseason likely hasn’t changed that much in the last month or so. If you went into your draft with a plan have faith in that plan and don’t abandon ship at the drop of that.
A key example of this is Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton. The outfielder is one of the best true sluggers in the game, but some were skeptical of him going into the season because of the decimation of the Marlins’ lineup by owner Jeffers Loris in the offseason. Some argued that Stanton was in for a rough year because pitchers would be disinclined to pitch to him when he had no protection in the lineup. Why let Stanton beat you when you can take your chances against career minor leaguers, washed up veterans or mediocre hitters.
Then Stanton got off to a slow start and has experienced a shoulder injury. He has no homers and no RBI this season. But, with his prodigious power (back to back 30-plus homer, 80-plus RBI seasons) eventually he’ll come around. Teams can’t pitch around him forever.
So if you do own him stand pat. And if you’re in a league with a panicked Stanton owner, see if you can take advantage of it and buy low. But if you’re going to attempt to buy low, do it know before he gets a chance to heat up.
The bottom line is this - if you thought a player is a fantasy superstar going into the season he probably still is one. Be patient and don’t overreact or rush to judgment. You don’t want to make a trade you’ll regret for the rest of the season.
Shelby Miller has gotten off to a hot start for the Cards this season.
Ranked as the No. 6 prospect in Baseball America going into the season, Miller is off to a 2-1 start with a 1.96 ERA with 18 strike outs in 18 1/3 innings pitched. He’s striking out nearly a batter per inning and opponents are hitting just .169 against him. He attempted to move away from relying so much on his fastball last year and is trying to mix in a cutter and change up, but thus far the fastball remains his go-to pitch. Miller can be a bit wild - he’s walking 2.45 batters per nine innings, which is consistent with his career averages - but the flamethrower has been able to work around his wildness thus far.
Miller’s ownership is on the rise - he’s owned in 70 percent of Yahoo! leagues - so now is the time to pick him up. His next start will be challenge as he is facing the Nationals. But even if you do not like the matchup and choose to keep him on the bench, Miller can provide value for teams looking for pitching help.
If you can get him still, Andrew Bailey should be picked up off the waiver wire.
The Red Sox reliever is still available in about 39 percent of Yahoo! leagues and has been pitching well since being put into the closer’s role due to Joel Hanrahan’s hamstring issues. Bailey has 12 strikeouts in just over seven innings pitched.
Bailey has looked fairly sharp this season, while Hanrahan has struggled mightily. Now some of that may be due to the hamstrings, but it would be difficult to take Bailey out of the role if he is excelling. Let’s no forget that Bailey has been an effective closer in the past, it’s just his ability to stay on the field that has been in question.
So, while it is possible that Hanrahan comes back and takes back the closer’s role, Bailey has pitched well enough that it makes sense to pick him up even if it’s just for the interim.
Andy Silva writes the Fantasy Forecast column for The Salem News. You can read his blog at blogs.salemnews.com/fantasyforecast and reach him at email@example.com. You can also follow Fantasy Forecast on Twitter at twitter.com/sn_fantasysport.