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April 20, 2013

Fantasy Forecast: Patience is a virtue that will pay off in the end

It’s easy to be shortsighted and get frustrated when superstar players who were high fantasy draft picks or expensive auction acquisitions. Some might feel compelled to cut their losses and sell, even if it means getting less than full value for the player. But the best bet is to stay the course.

It’s still extremely early in the season and sample sizes are small. Whatever your research told you In the offseason likely hasn’t changed that much in the last month or so. If you went into your draft with a plan have faith in that plan and don’t abandon ship at the drop of that.

A key example of this is Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton. The outfielder is one of the best true sluggers in the game, but some were skeptical of him going into the season because of the decimation of the Marlins’ lineup by owner Jeffers Loris in the offseason. Some argued that Stanton was in for a rough year because pitchers would be disinclined to pitch to him when he had no protection in the lineup. Why let Stanton beat you when you can take your chances against career minor leaguers, washed up veterans or mediocre hitters.

Then Stanton got off to a slow start and has experienced a shoulder injury. He has no homers and no RBI this season. But, with his prodigious power (back to back 30-plus homer, 80-plus RBI seasons) eventually he’ll come around. Teams can’t pitch around him forever.

So if you do own him stand pat. And if you’re in a league with a panicked Stanton owner, see if you can take advantage of it and buy low. But if you’re going to attempt to buy low, do it know before he gets a chance to heat up.

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