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April 20, 2013

Fantasy Forecast: Patience is a virtue that will pay off in the end

(Continued)

The bottom line is this - if you thought a player is a fantasy superstar going into the season he probably still is one. Be patient and don’t overreact or rush to judgment. You don’t want to make a trade you’ll regret for the rest of the season.

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Shelby Miller has gotten off to a hot start for the Cards this season.

Ranked as the No. 6 prospect in Baseball America going into the season, Miller is off to a 2-1 start with a 1.96 ERA with 18 strike outs in 18 1/3 innings pitched. He’s striking out nearly a batter per inning and opponents are hitting just .169 against him. He attempted to move away from relying so much on his fastball last year and is trying to mix in a cutter and change up, but thus far the fastball remains his go-to pitch. Miller can be a bit wild - he’s walking 2.45 batters per nine innings, which is consistent with his career averages - but the flamethrower has been able to work around his wildness thus far.

Miller’s ownership is on the rise - he’s owned in 70 percent of Yahoo! leagues - so now is the time to pick him up. His next start will be challenge as he is facing the Nationals. But even if you do not like the matchup and choose to keep him on the bench, Miller can provide value for teams looking for pitching help.

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If you can get him still, Andrew Bailey should be picked up off the waiver wire.

The Red Sox reliever is still available in about 39 percent of Yahoo! leagues and has been pitching well since being put into the closer’s role due to Joel Hanrahan’s hamstring issues. Bailey has 12 strikeouts in just over seven innings pitched.

Bailey has looked fairly sharp this season, while Hanrahan has struggled mightily. Now some of that may be due to the hamstrings, but it would be difficult to take Bailey out of the role if he is excelling. Let’s no forget that Bailey has been an effective closer in the past, it’s just his ability to stay on the field that has been in question.

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